Smart Chart: Reading the Midterm Tea Leaves

Smart Chart: Reading the Midterm Tea Leaves

Election Day is three weeks away, and control of both the Senate and House are too close to call — and analysts are crunching the numbers to try to predict what will happen. In this chart, we look at the odds from very different sources to get a sense of where the midterms are headed.

  • FiveThirtyEight, a data analysis site that uses polling data and mathematical formulas
  • Online betting markets where wagerers buy and sell election “futures”
  • Bookmaking odds from gambling sites


Had enough of the angriest voices dominating our politics? Join a movement where every voice counts.

Join Us