The tossup midterm election races
Two weeks out from the 2022 midterms the non-partisan Cook Political Report projects, 402 of the 470 U.S. House and Senate races are considered solidly or likely in favor of one party or the other – meaning that a whopping 86% of races are essentially already over.
The remaining 14% percent are still competitive, and they’ll ultimate decide which party ultimately has majority control in both chambers. From the Cook report:
- 33 House races and 4 Senate races across 24 states are considered true tossups, comprising less than 8% of all elections this cycle.
- Of those 37 races, 13 are for open seats, or new seats based on redistricting from the 2020 census results.
- Of the remaining 26 tossups, 6 seats are currently held by Republicans, and 20 seats are held by Democrats.
As of today oddsmakers give Republicans an 87% chance to win the House majority and Democrats a 66% chance to win the Senate, but a victory for either party will likely depend on a strong showing in tossup races. But these are just polls and projections. In the end, voters decide, so make sure you get out and vote!