The Problem-Solving Voter Poll

PSB conducted a phone poll among 1,004 registered voters in the United States. This survey fielded June 4th-June 11th, 2012. The margin of error was 3.1%.

  • A majority of voters (54%) are Problem Solving Voters (PSVs), which is defined as someone who:
    • When voting for national office, chooses candidates who are focused on solving problems rather than the candidates who align most closely with their party affiliation
    • If a member of a political party, somewhat often or frequently votes for candidates outside of their party for national office
  • 94% of Independents are Problem Solving Voters, compared to 30% of Democrats and 33% of Republicans
  • Problem Solving Voters are discouraged with the current state of our country—only 29% think the country is heading in the right direction, compared to 42% of non-PSVs
    • Only 16% of PSVs believe that the current leaders in Washington are able to get things done; 84% believe we ultimately need a new group of leaders who are focused on solving problems
  • If the 2012 Presidential election were held today, Mitt Romney would win the PSV vote 51-49, while Barack Obama would win the non-PSV vote 52-48
    • This is in contrast to the 2008 election, when Obama carried the PSV vote 48-37
    • On specific issues, PSVs see Romney as more of a problem solving candidate for Tax Policy (55%), Deficit Reduction (58%), and Immigration (51%), and see Obama as more of a problem solving candidate for Healthcare (59%)
  • Problem Solving Voters feel that it is very important for problem solving candidates to work with members of the opposing party to find solutions (84%)
    • They also want problem solving candidates to be inventive in coming up with new ideas (71%) and to not feel bound by pledges (67%)
  • PSVs are open minded with their voting decisions and less tied to party affiliation
    • 33% are at least somewhat likely to change their mind between now and the 2012 election vs 15% for non-PSVs
    • 38% have changed their party affiliation at some point, vs 23% of non-PSVs

PROBLEM SOLVING VOTER

Problem Solving Voter is defined as:

  • When voting for national office, chooses candidates who are focused on solving problems rather than the candidates who align most closely with their party affiliation
  • If a member of a political party, somewhat often or frequently votes for candidates outside of their party for national office

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

Democrats N=348

Republicans N=292

Independents N=364

Problem Solving Voter

54

100

0

30

33

94

Not Problem Solving Voter

46

0

100

70

67

6

POLITICS IN GENERAL

In general, do you believe that things in the country are headed in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Right direction

35

29

42

60

15

23

Wrong track

65

71

58

40

85

77

Which of the following is closer to your view regarding candidates for national office?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

I vote for political candidates who I feel are focused on solving problems

81

100

59

100

100

100

I vote for political candidates who align most closely with my political party

19

0

41

0

0

0

 

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, or are you an Independent?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Democrat

35

19

53

100

0

0

Republican

29

18

42

0

100

0

Independent

36

63

5

0

0

100

Have you ever changed your party affiliation?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Yes

31

38

23

28

34

42

No

69

62

77

72

66

58

What party did you change from?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=340

PS Voters

N=220

Non-PS Voters

N=120

PS Democrats N=26

PS Republicans N=41

PS Independents N=153

From Democrat to Republican

34

21

59

11

68

13

From Democrat to Independent

20

26

8

8

0

36

From Republican to Democrat

17

17

16

71

13

8

From Republican to Independent

17

24

2

0

2

33

From Independent to Democrat

6

5

9

5

6

4

From Independent to Republican

6

7

5

5

12

6

How often do you vote for candidates for national office from a party other than your own?

 

Total

N=642

PS Voters

N=199

Non-PS Voters

N=443

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=0

Frequently

15

38

4

41

35

0

Somewhat often

22

62

4

59

65

0

Rarely

35

0

51

0

0

0

Never

28

0

41

0

0

 

GENERAL CANDIDATE, PARTY & ISSUES PROBE

How favorable are you towards Barack Obama?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Favorable

(Very + Somewhat)

50

48

52

87

16

44

Unfavorable (Somewhat + Very)

49

52

48

12

83

55

Very favorable

31

24

39

63

4

17

Somewhat favorable

19

24

13

24

12

27

Somewhat unfavorable

11

14

8

4

25

14

Very unfavorable

38

38

40

8

58

41

Don't know

1

1

1

1

0

 

How favorable are you towards Mitt Romney?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Favorable

(Very + Somewhat)

45

46

45

24

75

44

Unfavorable (Somewhat + Very)

49

49

50

76

22

48

Very favorable

13

11

16

6

23

8

Somewhat favorable

32

35

29

18

52

36

Somewhat unfavorable

20

23

16

30

14

24

Very unfavorable

29

26

34

46

8

24

Don't know

6

5

6

1

2

 

How favorable are you towards each of the following?

Showing Very + Somewhat Favorable

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

The Republican Party

46

45

46

21

75

45

The Democratic Party

45

39

54

85

20

31

The Republican leadership in Congress

40

37

43

14

69

35

US Congress

39

39

41

52

58

29

The Democratic leadership in Congress

39

33

46

76

16

2

If the 2012 Presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Mitt Romney

50

51

48

15

82

53

Barack Obama

50

49

52

85

18

4

For which party’s candidate are you more likely to vote for in this fall’s Congressional elections?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Democratic

39

31

49

76

6

24

Republican

36

32

39

10

77

27

Independent

18

26

8

3

7

39

Other

8

11

5

11

10

1

How likely are you to change your mind between now and the election?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Very likely

4

5

3

1

3

6

Somewhat likely

21

28

12

18

33

30

Not very likely

29

29

30

33

25

28

Not at all likely

46

38

56

47

40

3

In 2008, for whom did you vote for President?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Democrats Barack Obama and Joe Biden

49

48

50

83

17

47

Republicans John McCain and Sarah Palin

38

37

40

12

79

33

Green Party candidates Ralph Nader and Matt Gonzalez

1

2

1

1

0

2

Did not vote

9

10

6

3

3

15

Other

3

3

3

2

1

 

For which party’s candidate did you vote for in the last Congressional elections in 2008?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Democratic

42

36

50

75

10

32

Republican

39

37

41

11

77

35

Other

14

19

7

9

11

24

I voted for different parties for House & Senate

5

7

2

5

3

 

WASHINGTON

Who do you believe is to blame for gridlock in Washington (inability for Congress to agree on a budget, etc.)?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Republicans

24

24

25

48

15

19

Republicans in Congress

21

21

22

33

5

21

The President

18

18

17

3

29

20

Democrats in Congress

16

15

17

1

29

16

Democrats

14

15

13

8

18

16

I believe everything is getting done in Washington

7

8

6

8

4

 

Which of the following is closer to your view?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

The best way to ensure that things get done in Washington would be to elect a new group of leadership that is committed to solving problems

77

82

72

64

84

86

The best way to ensure that things get done in Washington would be a shift in which political party is in power

23

18

28

36

16

1

Which of the following is closer to your view?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

I believe that ultimately we need a new group of leaders who are focused on solving problems

79

84

74

57

97

88

I believe that the current leaders in Washington are able to get things done

21

16

26

43

3

1

Which of the following is closer to your view?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

The criteria have changed, and more voters are now looking across party lines to find candidates who are focused on solving problems

53

60

46

56

72

57

The criteria for choosing candidates remains the same as it always has been and most voters still pick the candidate that falls within their own party

47

40

54

44

28

4

Many members of Congress have taken a pledge not to raise taxes under any circumstances.  Do you believe this has hurt or helped Congress’s ability to solve problems?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

I believe that the pledge has hurt Congress’s ability to solve problems

68

67

69

66

68

68

I believe that the pledge has helped Congress’s ability to solve problems

32

33

31

34

32

3

Many members of Congress have taken a pledge not to raise taxes under any circumstances.  Do you believe this has hurt or helped Congress’s ability to solve problems?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

I believe that the pledge has hurt Congress’s ability to solve problems

77

76

78

68

84

76

I believe that the pledge has helped Congress’s ability to solve problems

23

24

22

32

16

2

PROBLEM SOLVING CANDIDATE DRILLDOWN

In casting your vote in the 2012 election, are you looking for someone who best represents your party or someone who solves problems regardless of party?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Someone who solves problems regardless of party

82

91

71

80

93

93

Someone who best represents my party

18

9

29

20

7

 

How important are each of the following qualities to you in defining what a problem solving candidate needs to do?

Showing Very Important

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Willing to work with those from the other party direct to try to find solutions

80

84

76

90

87

82

Has a strong grasp of policy and is inventive in coming up with new ideas

71

71

71

73

72

70

Does not feel bound by pledges, but willing to look beyond them when necessary to solve a problem

65

67

63

65

58

70

Willing to go publicly against own party on some issues

59

65

50

58

69

67

Willing to back unconventional solutions to problems

54

54

53

54

50

5

Do you think Washington can produce a problem-solving mentality or does that really need to come from outside of Washington?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

A problem-solving mentality needs to come from outside of Washington

62

67

57

50

67

73

Washington can produce a problem-solving mentality

38

33

43

50

33

2

Which of the two Presidential candidates do you believe is more focused on solving problems in general rather than aligning with their political party?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Mitt Romney

49

50

48

21

78

52

Barack Obama

51

50

52

79

22

4

Which candidate do you believe is more focused on solving problems regarding tax policy rather than aligning with their political party?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Mitt Romney

53

55

52

19

82

58

Barack Obama

47

45

48

81

18

4

Which candidate do you believe is more focused on solving problems regarding immigration rather than aligning with their political party?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Mitt Romney

47

51

43

23

70

55

Barack Obama

53

49

57

77

30

4

Which candidate do you believe is more focused on solving problems regarding the budget deficit rather than aligning with their political party?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Mitt Romney

55

58

51

28

85

59

Barack Obama

45

42

49

72

15

4

Which candidate do you believe is more focused on solving problems regarding healthcare rather than aligning with their political party?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Mitt Romney

41

41

42

11

60

45

Barack Obama

59

59

58

89

40

5

CONSTITUTIONAL CONVENTION

The United States hasn’t had a Constitutional Convention since 1787. Which is closer to your view about the idea of holding modern-day Constitutional Convention?

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Holding a Constitutional Convention now would just create more problems for our country

54

55

53

47

58

56

Holding a Constitutional Convention now would help our nation resolve some of its differences

46

45

47

53

42

4

Demographics

Region

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Northeast

19

18

20

17

19

19

Midwest

24

28

20

24

21

30

South

37

36

38

34

32

38

West

19

18

21

24

27

1

Gender

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Male

47

49

44

38

50

53

Female

53

51

56

62

50

4

Please indicate which of the following best represents your age.

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

18-20

3

3

3

0

4

4

21-24

6

6

6

8

8

5

25-29

7

6

9

5

0

8

30-34

8

9

7

6

8

10

35-39

8

9

7

15

6

8

40-44

9

9

9

15

10

7

45-49

10

9

11

4

13

10

50-54

10

11

9

13

9

11

55-59

10

11

9

7

11

12

60-64

9

9

9

10

8

8

65-69

6

7

5

6

8

7

70-74

5

4

6

5

5

4

75+

9

7

11

9

11

 

What is the last grade in school you completed?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Less than high school

5

5

5

2

1

7

High school graduate

22

21

23

34

19

18

Some college

25

26

23

20

31

27

College graduate (Associate’s or Bachelor’s degree)

33

31

34

25

34

33

Graduate school

15

16

14

20

14

1

Which of the following best describes your ethnic or racial background or heritage?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

White, Caucasian, European, European-American

76

75

78

58

80

78

Black, African-American, Caribbean, African, Caribbean-American

10

9

12

20

1

7

Hispanic, Latino, Latin American

8

10

6

18

10

7

Asian-American, Asian, Pacific Islander

3

4

2

3

7

3

Other

3

3

3

2

3

4

Do you consider yourself liberal, centrist, or conservative?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Liberal

29

25

34

41

15

22

Centrist

17

21

12

14

12

26

Conservative

49

49

49

43

70

44

Don't know

5

5

5

2

3

 

For statistical purposes only, we need to know your total family income for 2011.  Will you please tell me which of the following categories best represents your total family income?

 

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS Voters

N=467

PS Democrats N=99

PS Republicans N=100

PS Independents N=338

Less than $20,000

13

13

14

12

12

14

$20,000-$34,999

13

14

12

20

13

13

$35,000-$49,999

15

16

14

19

11

16

$50,000-$74,999

16

17

16

13

20

17

$75,000-$99,999

14

12

16

13

13

12

$100,000-$150,000

12

12

13

9

11

13

$150,000+

8

10

6

9

14

9

Don't know/refused

8

7

9

4

6

8

METHODOLOGY

PSB conducted a phone poll among 1,004 registered voters in the United States. This survey fielded June 4th-June 11th, 2012. The margin of error was 3.1%.

Random Digit Dialing (RDD) telephone samples were used to survey a representative sample of the US voting population.

  • Penn, Schoen & Berland used the Genesys system to produce RDD numbers for US dialing.
    • Area codes and exchanges were determined for an area based on various geographic or demographic criteria.
    • After this, the final 4 digits of the phone number were randomly created.
    • Demographics were based on US Census data and PRIZM cluster categorization, updated quarterly along with geographic exchange information.
    • Cell phone only exchanges were excluded from the generation since they don’t follow regular geographic regulations. Removing these does not significantly affect results.

In analyzing the survey data we employed statistical weighting techniques to compensate for any remaining variance from demographic or other targeted sampling parameters since RDD calls cannot be highly targeted based on demographic variables